Risk level: Yellow RED: Severe (+/- 4%) ORANGE: High (+/- 3%) YELLOW: Elevated (+/- 2%) BLUE: Guarded (+/- 1%) THE BOOSTER SHOT -The US expansion is over. -We are observing the results of systemic international change. The largest economic expansion in US history is over, according to the International Monetary Fund. The fund issued a … More The United States is Long Past Its Pivotal Moment
-Stimulus meets the surrealism of populism. -First-half optimism is starting to fade. Crude oil prices were in retreat early in the Friday session amid jitters over global economic recovery plans. Risk analysts expect Jenga-like challenges will erupt in emerging markets that may lack the healthcare infrastructure to deal with the pandemic. Elsewhere, the Chinese appetite … More The Daily Dose; Is Stimulus Over?
-US jobless claims a bit worse than expected. -China posts growth in the second quarter. The market is having a latent response to the decision from OPEC to ease back on production curtailments, with Brent erasing gains from a previous session spurred by supply-side data. OPEC’s secretary general on Wednesday credited coordinated restraint along multilateral … More The Daily Dose; Second Economic Verse, Same as The First
The GERM Report 